Arsenal are long odds-on at 1.44 to maintain their fantastic run of form by beating Fulham at the Emirates this weekend, and the stats suggest that they will have little difficulty in disposing of their London rivals.
Fulham have never won away against Arsenal in any competition in 25 attempts, losing on 22 occasions, and the have won just one of their last nine PL games against the Gunners.
The Cottagers have also won just three out of 45 Premier League London derbies away from home and none of the last 34 since they beat Tottenham in August 2003.
No surprise then that Arsenal are considered bankers by the bookies to secure another 3 points and continue their ascent up the table.
It really is impossible to envisage anything other than a comfortable victory for Arsene Wenger’s men – particularly given the unbelievable form of Robin van Persie.
The Dutchman has done us plenty of favours in recent weeks thanks to his goal scoring exploits and has now scored 31 goals in 29 Premier League games in 2011 and seven in his last four appearances at the Emirates.
He has also scored in five of his seven Premier League starts against Fulham, and backing him to score anytime at 1.67 with bet365, Boylesports, Betfred and Paddy Power is arguably better value than backing the Gunners in the outright market.
I certainly wouldn’t want to desert a winning formula by not backing him to net, and also fancy a small punt on him to score first as well at a rather large looking 4 with bet365 and Paddy Power.
The stats also suggest that Fulham will struggle to score and that throws up some plays in the correct score markets.
The have only scored 12 goals in 20 Premier League games against Arsenal and have netted only six times in 10 Premier League away games against the Gunners.
So given that I expect a comfortable Arsenal victory backing the to win 3-0 and 4-0 makes plenty of appeal.
The former is a 12 shot with Paddy Power, while the latter is a 19 shot with bet365, Betfred and Boylesports.
A small split stakes on the two outcomes looks the way to play for a potentially decent payday.